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08-09-26  savo

every 4 years the world has to deal with a new fool in the WH.

08-09-26  savo


Trump eyes victory declaration over Iran without nuclear deal

According to The Wall Street Journal, the US president is preparing to declare victory if Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, even without a nuclear agreement. Tehran, however, is demanding billions of dollars, the withdrawal of US forces from the region and an end to the naval blockade.

Published on 08-09-2026 20:08

Trump’s Iran dilemma

US President Donald Trump has in recent weeks considered declaring victory in the war with Iran if Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and has privately told senior aides that he is willing to walk away without a nuclear deal, according to US officials cited by The Wall Street Journal.


But the prospect of ending the confrontation is becoming increasingly complicated. On Saturday, Iran laid out its most far-reaching demands yet for reopening the strategic waterway. Among other things, Tehran is seeking billions of dollars from the US, the withdrawal of American forces from the region and an end to the US naval blockade.

According to the report, the latest developments have once again narrowed Trump's options for ending the war. The president has repeatedly threatened a major military escalation before backing away from it, while the latest developments in the negotiations suggest that Iran is prepared for a prolonged, grinding conflict.

"Iran's recent hardline demands for reopening the strait make it increasingly difficult for the president to manufacture a face-saving off-ramp from the conflict," said Mona Yacoubian, director and senior adviser of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

Battle over the Strait of Hormuz

Since April, diplomatic negotiations have been overshadowed by the White House's demand that Iran never obtain a nuclear weapon. Trump sought to include the nuclear issue in broader negotiations with Tehran, but those talks proved too difficult, prompting the White House in recent weeks to focus more heavily on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, as Iran's ability to disrupt traffic through the strait with missile and drone attacks has become a powerful source of leverage, with commercial shipping disrupted and global oil markets shaken.

Now, with less than three months to go before the US midterm elections and gasoline prices still significantly higher than they were before the war began in late February, Trump is looking for a way to present the American public with a picture of victory.

In recent days, the president told reporters that he had been prepared to launch the largest military attack since World War II, but that US allies persuaded him not to do so. At the same time, he insisted that a deal with Iran was "imminent," although no agreement has yet materialized.

On Friday, Trump even suggested on social media that victory had already been achieved without a nuclear agreement, sharing an article headlined, "Donald Trump Won the Iran War."
Ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Photo: Reuters

Tehran, which closed the waterway when the war began in February, has demanded that US warships be barred from passing through the strait and has also sought to collect revenue from commercial vessels. Washington, for its part, has said it will not accept Iranian restrictions or tolls. The prospects for an agreement appeared to diminish over the weekend after the United Arab Emirates said Iran had launched a missile attack on one of its ships and a senior Iranian official presented a series of stringent demands as conditions for allowing traffic through the strait.

The White House, meanwhile, has insisted that the US accomplished all of its military objectives against Iran. According to a White House official, Trump's focus now is on securing the flow of global energy through the Strait of Hormuz, while keeping military options on the table in case Iran attacks additional ships.

On the nuclear issue, Trump has told senior officials privately that he believes Tehran will be unable to revive its nuclear program during his presidency after the US destroyed three major nuclear sites last year.

According to the officials, Trump believes US intelligence capabilities would detect any Iranian attempt to rebuild the facilities or secretly construct a nuclear weapon. He also believes the threat of further US attacks will serve as a lasting deterrent. If the US succeeds in preventing Iran from reviving its nuclear program and traffic through the strait resumes, Trump is expected to extend the current ceasefire indefinitely, according to the officials. He is also expected to lift the US military blockade of Iranian ports if Tehran fully reopens the strait.

Iran's demand: Billions of dollars

One of the main obstacles facing the Trump administration is money. Iran is demanding billions of dollars in compensation for war damage, in addition to an agreement to unfreeze Iranian assets held around the world.

While Trump has said the White House will not allow US taxpayer money to go to Iran, according to the report, an agreement appears unlikely without at least some Iranian assets being unfrozen, possibly subject to certain conditions. Another dispute concerns whether the US would grant Iran waivers allowing it to sell oil on the open market. The US agreed to such waivers in June as part of an interim memorandum of understanding with Iran, but it collapsed after Iran attacked ships in the strait and Washington reinstated sanctions on Iranian oil trade.

Trump's latest remarks indicate that he is looking for a way out of the confrontation. On Thursday, the president told reporters that the US blockade of Iranian ports meant the Strait of Hormuz was "sort of open right now," although he acknowledged that Tehran could still damage ships using missiles, drones and mines. Trump has also suggested that Iran's buried uranium stockpile is no longer a significant issue.

https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/08/09/trump-eyes-victory-declaration-over-iran-without-nuclear-deal/

08-09-26  savo

until the veni's debt is restructured oil production will not change much.

08-09-26  victor

merlino, Iranians do not look very enthusiastic to finish the conflict

//

Iranians want to make sure that the gop loses in november.

and the senate gop is not even capable of passing voter id/save, which would theoretically help the gop in nov.

08-09-26  Merlino

In addition to the latest nine conditions Iran just added the following...
......................................
Jokes apart Iranians do not look very enthusiastic to finish the conflict, just by the contrary....if it is either bcz of what they consider a victory or out of an apparent value of (Shia) martyrdom I do not know

08-09-26  Merlino

Oil exports from Venezuela plunged in July due to weaker demand from India ..
..............................
I have read they were essentially similar to June however mainly redirected to USA....the plunge, if any, was in shipments to India/Asia

08-09-26  carib

Last post was incomplete:

Funds and savings accumulated before January 1, 2024, are permanently exempt from Thai tax upon remittance, provided you can present documentation proving when the money was earned.

08-09-26  savo

interesting... similar to ireland's non dom.

Any money you declare to have before taking up non dom in ireland is exempt from taxes on remittances.

08-09-26  carib

Besides: December 31, 2023 remain permanently exempt from Thai tax upon remittance, provided you maintain clear documentation proving when the funds were earned.
That means, in practice, that if you can present a foreign bank statement dated dec 31st 2023 showing a positive balance of XX MM$,
you can remit up to that amount tax free over time.
The law, IMHO, was targeting essentially thai citizens with undeclared offshore assets.

08-09-26  savo

spal...not only that....

the US should confiscate all assets of DT, his family and all the people involved in this unnecessary and reckless war whose only achievement has been to destroy economic and civilian infrastructure, kill innocent civilians, provoke inflation for the entire world and enrich the well connected.

Why should the american people and the rest of the world pay for DT and Hegseth's incompetence?

Crooks should be taught that this kind of actions have consequences for their personal lives and well being of their families.

08-09-26  carib

Savo: thai news .. two year old. actual implementation.. patchy..

08-09-26  spal

BREAKING: In addition to the latest nine conditions Iran just added the following five as necessary for the opening the Strait of Hormuz:

1. Disney World Handover: Surrender Walt Disney World Resort and all IP to the Iranian Ministry of Culture, converting Epcot's ball into a radar-jamming dome and rebranding Mickey Mouse as Mahmoud the Mouse.

2. 15% Speedboat Gratuity: Require tanker captains to hand a crisp envelope containing a 15% cash tip to the nearest IRGC speedboat crew upon entry (20% for exceptional warning-shot guidance).


3. Mandatory Gulf Rename: Formally rename the body of water to "The Gulf of Absolute American Remorse and Supreme Patience," requiring the US Navy to repaint all Fifth Fleet hulls with yellow apology letters.


4. Yankees Roster Surrender: Trade the entire New York Yankees roster and farm system to the Tehran Steel-Workers Athletic Club in exchange for three draft picks and a crate of premium pistachios.


5. Interpretive Dance Apology: Require the Secretary of Defense and Joint Chiefs of Staff to perform a 45-minute synchronized interpretive dance expressing sorrow on an aircraft carrier deck, set to traditional Persian tar music.

08-09-26  pillz

Oil exports from Venezuela plunged in July due to weaker demand from India after a pause in the Iran war unlocked Middle Eastern barrels trapped in the Persian Gulf.

Venezuelan ship loadings of crude fell to a five-month low of 856,000 barrels a day last month, down 25% from June as shipments to India fell by half, according to shipping reports, data from Kpler Ltd, and vessel movements tracked by Bloomberg.

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