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04-18-26  savo


David Austerweil
Deputy Portfolio Manager
David is the Deputy Portfolio Manager for the active Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy and has been at the firm since 2012. Prior to VanEck, David was Vice President at ING Financial Services on the Emerging Markets Credit Trading & Structuring desk David has a MS, Financial Engineering from Columbia University and BA, Computer Science from Columbia University.


good background...

problem... the guy is in Australia...

04-17-26  panasonic

VanEck's way to say "we need bonds can you pls dump in more decent size"?


04-17-26  carib

Veny:

“The IMF may forecast an economic reality materially worse than the market prices,” said David Austerweil, emerging-markets deputy portfolio manager at VanEck in New York. “The lack of up to date audited data for investors to value bonds with has allowed the market to price an optimistic scenario for haircut and exit yield. We still believe it’s a compelling investment opportunity, but prices have run far ahead of our near term scenarios.”


04-17-26  carib

Let us say the persians were empire builders for thousands of years, whilst the arabs were invaders that locally mainly engaged in camel herding..but the arabs had good maths.. until the XII century..

04-17-26  savo

that was my impression...

04-17-26  spal

The Iranians have courage and conviction - the Saudis are by and large degenerates.

04-17-26  spal


i would like to understand how the murderous barbudos are any worse than the murderous saudies

===

They are not. One has oil the other drones.

04-17-26  savo

i would like to understand how the murderous barbudos are any worse than the murderous saudies

04-17-26  carib

I would say that probably the surviving iranian thugs are.. pragmatists, under a veil of rhetoric.
They have a weak hand, militarily, despite claims of the opposite, so they can contemplate make concessions and taking commitments they will refrain from honouring in the future, if circumstances allow..
or maybe, getting out from the "for of war" maimed, their system will collapse on its own.
who knows?

04-17-26  savo

es muy lamentable que el extremismo venezolano se dio a la tarea de visitar capitales de Europa y otros países para tratar de impedir este paso tan importante para nuestra economía


I've been saying for a long time that the psycho is evil.

Never trust a woman that draws on her eyebrows!

04-17-26  spal

would you stamp & seal the second sentence with no confirmation of regime change

==

No ... and there has been a permanent change in sentiment and judgement about business in that region. Same goes for Dubai which will never be quite the same again.

04-17-26  spal


oil traders apparently don't agree with you

===

Futures Traders Vic ... likely the most dimwitted ones.

04-17-26  victor

pana, that's right.
anyway, it's what traders care about. the short-term.

04-17-26  panasonic

Vic, open like "open right now" is not same as "we'll never use it as a weapon again", would you stamp & seal the second sentence with no confirmation of regime change?

Now, if a regime change actually occurred, a historical win goes to DJT and he deserves all the credit.

04-17-26  victor

carib

Iran, with the help of the U.S.A., has removed, or is removing, all sea mines! Thank you! President DJT

04-17-26  victor

pana, we are never going back to consider Hormuz "open"

//

oil traders apparently don't agree with you

04-17-26  carib

The report points out how Iran used decentralized forces during the conflict and to close the Strait, with small boats leading the operations to mine the waterway, and without a clear command chain on how to do it.

These make the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's main oil waterways, through which 20% of global consumption passes, almost impossible to transit.

The officials call the mining of the Strait an action carried out "haphazardly," with intelligence indicating that Iran doesn't have a clear idea of where each mine was placed.


04-17-26  spal

we are never going back to consider Hormuz "open", investments will be made on alternatives.

===

Agree - it was just more bloviating by Trump. Insurance and bond markets decide if something is open or not and the risk premia there has changed.

04-17-26  panasonic

Vic, imo we are never going back to consider Hormuz "open", investments will be made on alternatives.

A regime change in Iran to a more moderate could be the best outcome, people endured too much pain already, and IRGC has not even collected salary for weeks.

If something like that happens, DT won't receive any credit, but he would have solved a max. level threat in the region.

04-17-26  victor

Iran has agreed to never close the Strait of Hormuz again. It will no longer be used as a weapon against the World! President DONALD J. TRUMP

04-17-26  victor

Hezboolah

//

The U.S.A. will get all Nuclear “Dust,” created by our great B2 Bombers - No money will exchange hands in any way, shape, or form. This deal is in no way subject to Lebanon, either, but the USA will, separately, work with Lebanon, and deal with the Hezboolah situation in an appropriate manner. Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A. Enough is enough!!! Thank you! President DJT

04-17-26  carib

La presidenta encargada de Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, dispuso el desmantelamiento del denominado “Salón Néstor Kirchner” en el Palacio de Miraflores, un espacio que funcionaba como ámbito de reuniones dentro de la sede del Ejecutivo.

04-17-26  spal

Oil - big move ... down

04-17-26  spal

Delcy Rodríguez - who would have thought she would have been so perfect to run a protectorate? But there you go. Someone free from conflicted motives in the end, who just wanted to be on top one way or another ... what does it matter

04-17-26  Merlino

Caracas.- La presidenta encargada de Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, denunció este jueves que sectores extremistas del país intentaron obstaculizar la normalización de los vínculos entre Venezuela y el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI).

“Es muy lamentable, tengo que decirlo responsablemente, es muy lamentable que el extremismo venezolano se dio a la tarea de visitar capitales de Europa y otros países para tratar de impedir este paso tan importante para nuestra economía”, manifestó la Mandataria Encargada.

https://www.eluniversal.com/politica/231240/ejecutivo-denuncia-intentos-extremistas-de-boicotear-reanudacion-de-relaciones-venezuelafmi
...........................

MCM in action I think....S of a B

04-17-26  Merlino

https://www.elnacional.com/2026/04/el-fmi-reanuda-relaciones-con-venezuela/

El Fondo Monetario Internacional reanuda las relaciones con Venezuela tras siete años de suspensión
La reanudación de vínculos abre la posibilidad de acceder a cooperación, asesoría económica y financiamiento internacional, en un contexto donde Venezuela busca estabilizar su economía

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