08-28-26 carib
| More speculation. Imagine Hormuz remains half closed, upgraded pipelines pump gulf oil directly to indian ocean (Oman)and red sea (loading on suez-max)and pipeline from Iraq via Turkey to mediterranean. How can Iran move its oil? |
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08-28-26 carib
Savo: just speculating.. Trump could get a 99 year long lease of some veny oil extraction areas. Clearly signed under duress. But as long as Veny is under US military influence, it would work.
Law of the jungle. |
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08-28-26 panasonic
Veni oil news all over media.
Key takes:
1) Biggest oil reserves in the world without crossing risks.
2) US direct ownership is needed so private investments can return faster.
Oil prices down on the news.
Debt is still in grey area, we could wake up to a pleasant surprise or go into midterms with nothing concrete yet. |
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08-28-26 savo
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08-28-26 savo
i do not see how can the US government own oil in veni...
i can see how it can may exclusivity contracts in exchange of financing or whatever...
The US can take over veni... its assets and liabilities... and I imagine venezuelans will be very happy.. creating some kind of legal association... of whatever form...
I wonder what does MCM think about all this... and still wonder what are Vecchio, Borges and Guaido's occupation these days... how do they make a living. |
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08-28-26 carib
Savo: probably .. move on the oil.
something that he can sell as "victory" to US voters.
But I am unable to predict what. |
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08-28-26 savo
| move on the debt? move on the elections? on what exactly? |
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08-28-26 carib
| Meaning some visible move in the next 2 months. |
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08-28-26 savo
| carib.. faster on veni would mean? |
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08-28-26 panasonic
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08-28-26 carib
| I suspect Trump might aim at going faster in Veny, before mid-term. |
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08-28-26 carib
Panas: one step at a time.
I am not sure how the senate will end up, first of all.
Even less sure what the Trump gang will do. |
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08-27-26 panasonic
"midterm?" too late for reversals imho Carib.
Next, focus on how it will play inside both parties ahead of presidential elections, Republicans will just leak their wounds or something else?
Dems will celebrate a victory, probably incline even more to the left. |
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08-27-26 pillz
Venezuela Weighs OPEC Exit After Decades as It Deepens US Ties
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-27/venezuela-weighs-opec-exit-after-decades-as-it-deepens-us-ties?srnd=homepage-americas |
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08-27-26 Merlino
Veni 2026 gross exports about $30b from oil plus $5-10b others
http://www.petroguia.com/pet/noticias/petr%C3%B3leo/asdr%C3%BAbal-oliveros-40-de-los-ingresos-petroleros-de-venezuela-se-reinvirtieron-en |
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08-27-26 savo
rump Close To 'Massive' Deal For Seizing Stake In Venezuela's Vast Oil Fields
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/trump-close-massive-deal-seizing-stake-venezuelas-vast-oil-fields |
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08-27-26 savo
the US pillaging veni...
🇻🇪 Washington Is Making Venezuela Pay for Its Own Occupation — 32% of Oil Revenue
The U.S. invasion has turned Venezuela’s oil industry into a revenue stream for Washington. Economist Francisco Rodríguez says the Trump administration has charged Venezuela $4.7 billion, or 32% of its oil exports this year, to cover the cost of invading the country.
That money is taken before it reaches Venezuelan state accounts, even as Venezuela faces the enormous task of rebuilding after devastating earthquakes.
According to Mundo UR, Luigi Pisella, a member of Venezuela’s public-assets commission, said the country generated roughly $14.7 billion in gross oil revenue during the first half of 2026, but only about $7 billion will ultimately reach the state.
He said the remainder was absorbed through Chevron’s debt recovery, production and operating costs, and exchange-related deductions under the U.S.-managed oil arrangement.
Pisella said the Central Bank placed $6.7 billion into the foreign-exchange market during the first half, more than double the $3 billion supplied during all of the previous year. The largest monthly intervention, $1.7 billion, came in June and helped narrow the exchange-rate gap by increasing dollar supply.
CEPR economist Francisco Rodríguez underscored the scale by comparing Washington’s charge with Germany’s post-World War I reparations. Those payments, remembered as a punishing burden on the German economy, consumed the equivalent of 13% of Germany’s total exports between 1924 and 1931. Washington is now taking 32% of Venezuela’s oil-export revenue. |
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08-27-26 savo
| take over the debt too... |
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08-27-26 carib
US has right to take over any country for its resources: Miller
‘We’re a superpower and, under President Trump, we are going to conduct ourselves as a superpower’ |
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08-27-26 carib
Deuda venezolana al alza tras la información de Axios sobre un posible acuerdo entre los gobiernos de EE.UU. y Venezuela en materia de producción petrolera.
pic.twitter.com/iAmtuD2XsQ
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08-27-26 carib
Savo: Breaking news! my neighbour, who owns a swamp, has renamed his swamp as "Trump swamp".
;~)
Each country can name seas and lakes as they see fit.
The Mediterranean was named "mare nostrum" by the romans. |
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08-27-26 carib
| The Trump administration is in talks with Venezuela's interim government about taking an ownership stake in the South American country's enormous oil resources, two U.S. officials tell Axios. |
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08-27-26 savo
| BREAKING: In an executive order, President Trump has renamed Lake Ontario to Lake America |
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08-27-26 carib
Savo: true.. but there is no monopoly of stablecoins..
So maybe one could offer a stablecoin that pays interest at UST rate -1%? |
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08-27-26 savo
If I were president and I wanted to tank the dollar and get rich off it, here is exactly what I would do.
https://x.com/leahfiles/status/2092642632723788268
Some of you have asked about the fact that stablecoins are tied to the dollar so how would Trump and WLF make money if the dollar was weakened?
Trump and World Liberty Financial are not making money because USD1 goes up, they are making money because you have to go through them.
USD1 is backed by Treasury bills. World Liberty Financial holds those T-bills as reserves. They earn the yield on every dollar deposited, over 4% right now.
So, someone gives them a dollar, they buy a T-bill, they keep the interest. Billions in free income. It is a private money market fund disguised as a currency...and the Trump family owns it. |
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08-27-26 savo
BREAKING: U.S. Patriot interceptor stockpiles in Europe are at ‘beyond critical’ levels due to the Iran war, according to AP
A senior U.S. official said that in the event of a Russian ballistic missile attack on a military headquarters or power plant for example, NATO would be in a similar position to Ukraine and be forced ‘to take punch after punch in the mouth’.
In Europe, the American military ‘definitely’ does not have enough Patriots to stop any sustained ballistic missile attack and would have ‘very limited’ capability to defend against a single ballistic missile strike or a stray Russian missile that goes off course, the U.S. official said to the Associated Press.
@Middle_East_Spectator |
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08-27-26 savo
personalized pricing using AI technology is already here for flights... stores... etc...
we are literally f*cked.
https://x.com/SHERRYSRUN/status/2092757818978029682/video/1 |
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08-27-26 carib
European football’s governing body Uefa said it is preparing a criminal complaint against Gianni Infantino over the Fifa president’s failed plan to sell a stake in the World Cup to private investors.
In US court filings, Uefa said it was seeking to recover documents from Joshua Kushner, his investment firm Thrive Capital and Fifa’s Americas arm, as it presses ahead with efforts to oust Infantino from his role at world football’s governing body.
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08-27-26 carib
Panas: what would be a good outcome, for you, re midterm?
political preferences remain subjective, of course.. |
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08-27-26 panasonic
| Carib, same here...pessimistic for the moment, we'll see. |
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08-27-26 carib
| Panas: no hurry to predict or bet. I will just look at the results after the midterm vote, and then comment |
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08-27-26 panasonic
Carib, we'll see.
Nov? I would listen what Kalshi has to say. |
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08-27-26 carib
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said in closed conversations that he does not know how to win back the seats Likud has lost in recent polls, Kan News reported on Wednesday.
"We lost 10 seats; I don't know how to get them back," Netanyahu reportedly said.
According to the report, Netanyahu still does not know what kind of campaign to run, and he believes that unless things change, Likud will lose the upcoming election. |
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08-27-26 carib
| PS: for the time being, my interest is in what happens in Nov 2026. |
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08-27-26 carib
Panas: it make no sense to me.. to start a new party when you already fully control yours.
But time will tell. |
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08-27-26 panasonic
| Vic, just remember you read it here, we'll check again in Nov. 2028. |
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08-27-26 victor
pana, DT plan is to start his own political party
//
the GOP is his party, more than half of dt's posts are endorsements.. to instruct his followers who to vote for.
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08-27-26 spal
you read it first on colores.
===
We expect no less! |
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08-27-26 panasonic
Vic, Carib...there is a chance DT plan is to start his own political party, would be great that same happens with the left wing of Dems party, and both centers' re-groups under one roof.
That would change my view to optimistic...and remember, you read it first on colores. |
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08-27-26 leopardo
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08-27-26 carib
| The link to venezuela restructuring mandate disappeared from the Centerview website! |
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08-27-26 carib
| Victor: will republicans in congress suddenly grow a spine? |
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08-27-26 victor
carib, dt doesn't seem to care about midterms
//
Los republicanos están furiosos porque Trump reavivó la polémica arancelaria justo a tiempo para las elecciones intermedias
CNN
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Los republicanos del Congreso se alegraron enormemente al ver cómo los controvertidos aranceles del presidente Donald Trump prácticamente desaparecían de los titulares a medida que se acercaban las elecciones de mitad de mandato. Ahora, a tan solo 10 semanas de las elecciones, la decisión de Trump de volver a ponerlos en el centro del debate ha enfurecido a su partido.
En cuestión de días, el presidente no solo desató una guerra comercial con Canadá, sino que también anunció la reducción de los aranceles a la carne de res importada: un doble golpe económico que tendrá efectos particularmente agudos en una serie de estados cruciales para obtener el control del Congreso.
Los republicanos, que ya luchan por contrarrestar la preocupación generalizada de los votantes por el costo de vida, le están pidiendo públicamente a Trump que abandone su postura intransigente contra Canadá. Además, legisladores del Medio Oeste y del Sur se están distanciando del plan para reducir los aranceles a la carne de res importada, advirtiendo que cualquier avance, por breve que sea, en la reducción de los precios de este alimento básico quedará eclipsado por el perjuicio que causa a los ganaderos estadounidenses.
“No hay ningún republicano en las boletas electorales que diga que cree que esto es una buena idea”, dijo Doug Heye, estratega republicano de larga trayectoria. “Las cosas están demasiado caras y es difícil ver cómo esta [guerra comercial] podría beneficiar a algún republicano”.
Desde entonces, más de una docena de legisladores republicanos han criticado las medidas económicas, incluidos firmes aliados de Trump que manifestaron abiertamente su frustración por las repercusiones en sus estados de origen.
El senador John Barrasso, el segundo republicano de mayor rango en la cámara, suplicó a la administración que implementara políticas que facilitaran, en lugar de dificultar, que los ganaderos de Wyoming alimentaran a Estados Unidos. El senador de Arkansas Tom Cotton calificó el plan de importación de carne de res como “desacertado” e instó a Trump a reconsiderarlo. La senadora de Nebraska Deb Fischer fue más directa: “Estoy sumamente decepcionada por esta decisión”, escribió en X.
A los republicanos del puñado de estados del norte que podrían inclinar la balanza del Congreso en noviembre los tomó por sorpresa el fracaso de las negociaciones entre la Casa Blanca y Canadá. En consecuencia, han presionado a Trump para que ponga fin a una guerra comercial que podría encarecer una amplia gama de productos.
“Imponer nuevos aranceles a Canadá es un error”, declaró la senadora de Maine Susan Collins, quien se encuentra en una reñida contienda para conservar su escaño. “Realmente deseo que volvamos a la relación amistosa y económicamente beneficiosa que mantenemos con nuestros vecinos canadienses”.
El coro de reproches puso de manifiesto, una vez más, el deterioro de la relación entre Trump y los legisladores republicanos, cuyo destino determinará la trayectoria de sus últimos años en el cargo.
Trump se ha resistido a modificar sus prioridades para impulsar a los legisladores republicanos de cara a noviembre y, en cambio, les dedicó los últimos meses a sus proyectos de construcción favoritos, a librar una guerra impopular en Medio Oriente y a consolidar su agresivo régimen arancelario. Los candidatos republicanos, a su vez, están cada vez más preocupados de que el lastre causado por la caída en picada de los índices de aprobación de Trump les cueste el control de la Cámara de Representantes e incluso, posiblemente, del Senado.
“La forma improvisada e inconsistente en que se han aplicado estos aranceles ha generado un caos innecesario”, declaró Jason Roe, estratega del Partido Republicano de Michigan. “Buscar conflictos con nuestros principales socios comerciales y aliados no resulta nada útil”.
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08-27-26 victor
Bill Gates proposes major limits on AI development
Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates argued on Wednesday that artificial intelligence needs significant limits or else the harm to humans will outweigh any potential good.
“AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice,” he said in a 6,000-word essay, entitled “The turbulent AI era is here. The choices we make now are critical.”
Gates isn’t the first tech leader to raise concerns about rapid advancements in AI. But his essay adds to growing worries about the actions of some AI models and potential job losses, even as the AI companies and Wall Street press full speed ahead on the technology.
Gates became one of the richest people on the planet as a key player during last century’s personal computer revolution. However, he wrote that he believes the next technology revolution – AI – will be far more disruptive to society.
“Even under the best circumstances, the transition to this new AI era will be one of the most turbulent times in human history,” he said, adding that “I don’t see evidence that leaders, experts, and communities are confronting the challenges adequately. There is no plan to ease the entry into the AI era.”
AI can provide great benefits in field like agriculture and medicine, he argued, such as breakthroughs in preventing and treating diseases.
But he also noted that the transition carries big risks, like widespread unemployment, harming the educational and social development of children, or making it easier for criminals and bad actors – or AI itself – to cause deliberate harm.
“As the models become more powerful, they could begin to act against our interests and we could lose control,” he warned.
These significant risks must be controlled quickly, Gates said.
“If someone had a credible plan for slowing down AI advances globally, I would likely support it,” he wrote. “However, I don’t think that’s going to happen. The geopolitical and economic incentives are pushing too hard to go full speed ahead.”
In an interview with CNN’s Anderson Cooper that will air on Wednesday evening, Gates said AI models have gotten dramatically more powerful at a rate faster than he expected.
“They’re now capable of causing cyberattack risk, bioterrorism risk, psychosocial risk,” he said. “I have to say I’m kind of shocked that the exact criteria that we review these models with, and the actions we take to minimize the harms, are really completely missing.”
In his essay, Gates proposed taxing AI or robots the way you would pay a human employee’s payroll tax in order to slow the shift away from using human labor. He also wants to set aside some work to be done by humans only.
“My message to leaders is: You have a chance to act now, before unemployment rises sharply, communities are hurting, and public trust has eroded,” he said. “You can make sure AI benefits everyone. And you can work with other governments to meet this national and global challenge.”
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