11-04-26 carib
Republican Rep. Thomas Massie (Ky.) has warned he will push for a vote on articles of impeachment against Hegseth when Congress reconvenes in Washington next week.
Sen. Tillis, who cast the pivotal vote to confirm Hegseth in January 2025, now says that vote is the “biggest regret of my career.”
Hegseth looks toast.. |
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11-04-26 carib
CBS reported on Wednesday that Trump had asked advisers whether he should fire defence secretary Pete Hegseth, a champion of the Iran war.
Loyalty is seen by DT as a one way street.. |
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11-04-26 carib
Trump minions are a mixture of grifters and simpletons, IMHO.
The grifters filled their pockets, and the simpletons got fooled (as deserved). It was a repeat of the Brexit scam.
The underlying causes of anger were true and real, but the proposed remedies were worse than the disease.
There is too much immigration, both in the UK and the USA, but the good remedy is making legal immigration of good people easier, and illegal immigration much more difficult, rather than exiting the EU or transforming ICE into a gang of thugs.Intelligently structuring trade with China is necessary, but tariffs are a very bad option. Billionaires should concentrate on making money and refrain from entering politics until they retire from business.
Hope is not dead, IMHO, because the rule you can trick a few people all the time, and everybody once, but you cannot trick everybody all the time apparently still stands. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
I compared prediction markets vs actual results in FL, overall results accurate, support of candidates far from their actual numbers.
Conclusion, won't work on close races. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
Savo, that's exactly the problem...
Voters know how far their money goes, inflation would be workable if paired with higher income, but that isn't the case.
Can the left generate better paid jobs? Petro answered that question "perdimos porque no tuvimos suficientes pobres".
So welcome to my pessimistic camp, and remember, I was the first to arrive. |
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11-04-26 savo
Voter's top themes:
1) Cost of life
2) Lack of well-paid jobs.
pana.. wasn't DT saying that under his watch the US economy is doing great...? |
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11-04-26 carib
| Trump appears to have chosen the "middle way". He actually has many interests but few ideals. He will have to spend the next two years negotiating with Dems, and planning for what will follow. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
| Precious metals finally an uptick. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
"Initial Overnight Crash"
Reversed once DT made the call to congratulate dems.
I played the call using my Robinhood account jeje. |
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11-04-26 spal
| Goldman FX research suggested larger Democratic margins filled with rural and red-district moderates may actually limit the influence of the party's progressive wing. |
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11-04-26 spal
Initial Overnight Crash: As election results rolled in, equity futures dropped sharply (Nasdaq 100 futures down 2.4%, S&P 500 futures down 1.4%) on fears of tech regulation, data center slowdowns, and debt-ceiling gridlock.
Morning-After Rally: Markets staged a 929-point rebound off the overnight lows, with S&P futures turning +1.0% and Dow futures rising 700 points. Gold surged past $4,020/oz, while 10-year Treasury yields settled around 4.93%. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
"what will happen now inside what is left of the GOP?"
GOP Senators/Congressmen will have to separate from DT's agenda and work for their voters.
My pessimistic view is about who will dominate in Dems primaries, but we'll have to wait till then. |
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11-04-26 panasonic
Vic, pissed off voters on every corner, thanks for giving some credit to Venezuelan voters, but seems that referendum results were nationwide.
Most people agree that orgy in borders was bad, method used to deport wrong.
Voter's top themes:
1) Cost of life
2) Lack of well-paid jobs.
California's "NO" to wealth taxes a positive long term. |
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11-04-26 carib
the big positive I see is that GOP defeat was utter and undisputable.
the big negative is we might be in for a long period of US infighting.. unless Trump suddenly becomes tame to save his skin and family from retribution. |
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11-04-26 savo
for once i agree with Krugman...
the odd thing is that the cabinet which should have advised the president against the tariffs and spending nonsense become a court of adulators. |
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11-04-26 carib
Krugman's comment:
The damage done over the last two years is incredible, and I don’t know how much of it can ever be repaired.
But there is, at last, hope. For last night America showed that it is still America.
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11-04-26 carib
| what will happen now inside what is left of the GOP? |
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11-04-26 victor
MISSISSIPPI !!!
//
🚨 MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE: JUST 43 VOTES APART! 🇺🇸
With approximately 97% counted, Democrat Scott Colom reportedly leads Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith by just 43 votes.
A razor-thin contest in a traditionally Republican state. Every remaining ballot and affidavit could matter.
Republicans cannot afford to ignore this warning.
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11-04-26 victor
Elon Musk
Data centers in space looking pretty appealing right now |
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11-04-26 victor
| BREAKING: Abdul El-Sayed has officially won the US Senate race in Michigan. |
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11-04-26 victor
| Kansas' US Senate seat has flipped Democrat for the first time since 1932, ending a 94-year Republican winning streak in the state. |
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11-04-26 victor
spal, Meaning unpopular.
//
maybe for you.
for maga guys, polls are crooked, just like the press..
and dt is extremely popular. |
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11-04-26 spal
reflect how popular dt is/was.
===
Meaning unpopular.
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11-04-26 spal
| Vivek is a grifter - have you looked into his businesses. I did. |
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11-04-26 victor
spal, have you heard amy acton speak?
here she is..
vivek lost against her. :-))
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2117822364390244396 |
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11-04-26 victor
cnn
With Josh Turek projected as the Iowa winner, Democrats are now in full control of the Senate majority. A remarkable night — and an early one at that. |
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11-04-26 victor
Trump's blame game underway in earnest: "If Greg Abbott, the Governor of Texas, hadn’t become a RINO in the last six months of his Political Life, he wouldn’t have lost."
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11-04-26 victor
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11-04-26 victor
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11-04-26 victor
| the senate is already D:50 - R:39 .. 5 flipped. |
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11-04-26 victor
spal, for maga supporters, i am pretty sure it was a big surprise.
the argument was that polls were biased and didn't reflect how popular dt is/was.
and vivek was dt' man.. no way he would lose.
//
Trump endorses Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor, calls him 'special'
US President Donald Trump endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy in the race for governor of Ohio, showering praises on the Republican candidate as “young, strong and smart”.
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11-04-26 spal
| Interesting that copper (plice) is coming off. |
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11-04-26 spal
well, well, well..
===
Can't have been a surprise Vic? |
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11-04-26 victor
carib, paxton has lost in texas.. as well as abbott..
neither by a nose.
talarico 59%
hinojosa 57%
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11-04-26 victor
:-)))))
Donald J. Trump
I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP |
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11-04-26 victor
well, well, well..
#BREAKING: Amy Acton defeats Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio governor's race |
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11-04-26 victor
Los demócratas ganarán el control de la Cámara, proyecta CNN
El partido podrá impulsar una amplia agenda de supervisión al Gobierno de Trump
Hakeem Jeffries haría historia como el primer presidente de la Cámara de origen afroamericano
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11-04-26 victor
totally unexpected!!
south carolina senate seat won by the dems..
the loser is lindsey graham's sister.
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#BREAKING: Darline Graham falls to Democrat Annie Andrews in stunning Senate GOP defeat |
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11-04-26 victor
ma evira speaking right now.. good.
"le estan diciendo claramente al partido republicano: hay que cambiar el curso en economia e inmigracion."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGahKMpCqko
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11-04-26 victor
| ma elvira won.. by a nose. |
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11-04-26 victor
pana, "Pissed at her true, but most pissed can't vote."
//
apparently, pissed-off voters at the gop can and do vote.. including pissed-off venezuelan who are citizens.
maria elvira will likely win but also by a nose.. terible result.
2 years ago, ma elvira won 60% - 40%.
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11-04-26 victor
| anna paulina luna also winning by a nose. |
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11-04-26 victor
| byron donalds won by a nose. |
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11-04-26 victor
En estos momentos, las dos carreras que más nos tienen que importar en América Latina:
🔴 Maria Elvira Salazar - arriba por apenas 207 votos.
🔴 Mario Diaz-Balart - arriba por 2100 votos. |
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11-04-26 victor
debbie wasserman schultz has apparently destroyed her gop opponent..
with 94.79% in, she has 74.57%
while maria elvira is barely alive..
with 93.68& in, she has 50.04%
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11-03-26 panasonic
"mcm risk"
Combined with potential outcome of midterms, and cut short financing. |
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11-03-26 Merlino
veni bonds being clobbered
................
mcm risk? |
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11-03-26 savo
| veni bonds being clobbered |
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11-03-26 carib
Panas: both predict Dem senate control.
let us see reality tomorrow morning..
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11-03-26 panasonic
Carib, prediction markets say Senate goes to Dems.
Important thing (to me) is which of the two was more accurate, prediction markets or traditional polls. |
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11-03-26 carib
| panas: what do US prediction markets say about US senate? |
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11-03-26 panasonic
AAPL valuation at current EPS and growth is very expensive.
RACE beats and raise guidance.
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11-03-26 panasonic
"in Brasil, prediction markets were very wrong"
Carib, in Brazil makes perfect sense, a very small percentage of people has access to an app and spare money to bet in politics, so extremely biased.
USA, we are about to find... |
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11-03-26 victor
Trump says US is cutting off aid to Israel at year’s end because ‘they don’t need it’
President Donald Trump said Tuesday that the United States is cutting off $4 billion in aid to Israel at the end of the year because “they don’t need it.”
Trump, speaking to Fox News on the morning of Election Day, suggested that US aid to Israel has become a powerful political talking point for Democrats and questioned why Republicans should “suffer the slings” from candidates like Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed when Israel isn’t in need of assistance.
“It’s a bad talking point because when you say, ‘Why don’t we give everybody $4 billion?’ Israel’s our number one; we give them more than anybody else, and they no longer need it,” he said.
The US provides Israel $3.8 billion of military aid a year under a 10-year memorandum of understanding that began in 2018. It is set to expire in 2028. Trump appears to be suggesting he would terminate it at the end of this year.
Trump said that if Israel needed the money, he would keep the aid going, but added that he “reached an agreement” with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
The last reported call between the two leaders was on Saturday. It’s unclear if they have spoken since then. CNN has reached out to Netanyahu’s office and the White House.
Netanyahu has spoken openly about the need to end US military aid to Israel, but never on such a short time line. In May, the US and Israel began formal talks on a new agreement to replace the memorandum of understanding, though it’s not clear if there is any framework in place.
Just days before last week’s election, Netanyahu told an Israeli news channel that the end of US aid was coming. “If you think we’re going to continue receiving what I secured twice, tens of billions of dollars in American aid for the defense budget, get used to the fact that we won’t,” he said.
In March 2025, the Trump administration also authorized a $4 billion military aid package to Israel after the collapse of the second Gaza ceasefire.
Pressed on Fox whether he was cutting of $4 billion in military aid or $4 billion as a check, he said, “Any way you want to define it.”
“You can consider it barter. You can consider military aid or cash. What we give them — $4 billion of things and money — and they don’t need it. And I was approached by Bibi Netanyahu, and we’ve been talking about it for a couple of years because it’s a lot of money,” Trump said.
He said Israel “can buy whatever they want.”
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11-03-26 carib
| Panas: in Brasil, prediction markets were very wrong. |
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