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07-31-26  savo

meanwhile the UST10 and UST30 30 year charts look horrible for the fiscal deficit.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10/

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30

07-31-26  savo

to provide additional collateral


showing that the earnings and stocks rally is fueled exclusively by credit... the same credit that fuels inflation...

The Fed is trapped.. reduce or contract credit to stop inflation would kill the stock market and provoke a financial crisis...

Do not contract credit and inflation will continue its ascendant march...

#deathbyinflationordeathbyfinancialcrisis

Warsh tough talk is not credible..he does not need to talk.. he can act.. he has the tools... but will not.

07-31-26  spaldo

https://time.com/article/2026/07/30/venezuelan-president-delcy-rodriguez-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=300726

How Delcy Rodríguez Went From Maduro Loyalist to Trump Proxy
by
Eric Cortellessa/Caracas
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SENIOR CORRESPONDENT
JUL 30, 2026 1:00 PM CET

07-31-26  spal

unusual_whales
@unusual_whales
·
8h
NEWS: Wall Street banks have asked funds heavily concentrated in certain industries to provide additional collateral, per FT

07-30-26  spal

Yes Savo - but nonetheless I closed the PBF position ... not saying I wont go again though. I like those kinda rides.

07-30-26  spaldo

https://time.com/article/2026/07/30/venezuelan-president-delcy-rodriguez-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=300726

How Delcy Rodríguez Went From Maduro Loyalist to Trump Proxy
by
Eric Cortellessa/Caracas
Open follow modal
SENIOR CORRESPONDENT
JUL 30, 2026 1:00 PM CET

07-30-26  savo

spal.. PBF went from negative 865 MM free cashflow in Q1 26 to positive 1.3 bn in Q2.

Net leverage from 4.3 to 0.5 in one quarter!

07-30-26  spal

Leopold Aschenbrenner - looking like a one trick pony.

07-30-26  Merlino

Interesting take on AI investments, china, S&Ps

https://x.com/learnaifaster/status/2080559997243850887

07-30-26  spal

Now trailing stops

07-30-26  spal


Of course the equities are now in good hands ...


PBF
PBF ENERGY INC A


73.77 (+16.45%)

07-30-26  spal

but I have PBF bonds which did quite well.

===

Well played.

07-30-26  savo

no spal... no equities for me but I have PBF bonds which did quite well... surprisingly so.. as the research was very negative at some point.

07-30-26  spal

PBF
PBF ENERGY INC A


72.40 (+14.29%)

Savo - presumably you bought refining shares ... I hope so.

07-30-26  spal

PBF
PBF ENERGY INC A


70.51 (+11.30%)

07-30-26  spal

Savo - I bought PBF again yesterday (prior to earnings) - thanks for your reminder.

07-30-26  spal


PBF
PBF Energy, Inc. engages in the operation of a petroleum refinery and supplies unbranded transportation fuels, heating oil, petrochemical feed stocks, lubricants, and other petroleum products in the United States.

Adjusted EPS: Came in at $6.22 per share, crushing analyst consensus estimates of $4.15 by over $2.00 per share.

Revenue: Reached $11.68 billion, up 56% year-over-year and beating estimates ($9.92 billion) by $1.76 billion.

Adjusted EBITDA: Soared to $1.22 billion, a massive surge from just $51.8 million in Q2 2025.

07-30-26  spal

Savo - worth getting a better read on this. Thanks.

07-30-26  savo

spal.. you may have the answer to Charlie Kirk here:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/R003qcFXjMk

07-30-26  savo

South Korea’s stock market is now down -35% this month


hadn't it gone up 120% before based on illusory circular trades?

according to this chart there were 4.8 Trn of them:

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096_updated-look-at-the-increasingly-circular-share-7487610543676149760-0lJb

07-30-26  victor

BMW, el último gigante en sucumbir a la crisis de la automoción alemana bajo la presión de China y EE.UU.

La marca ha anunciado una salida de 8.000 trabajadores, la mayoría en el país germano, y se suma a los recortes de empleo en Volkswagen, Mercedes, Audi y Porsche


07-30-26  spal

Kuppy
@hkuppy
·
23h
I always thought Billy Hwang was a degenerate gambler.

Turns out, he was just an average Korean guy, but with an ISDA…
Quote
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetter
·
23h
BREAKING: South Korea’s stock market falls -8% as the global chip stock selloff continues.

South Korea’s stock market is now down -35% this month.

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