09-19-26 spal
Advisors on the Ground: Technical operatives from the IRGC Quds Force (Unit 190 / Unit 700) and Lebanese Hezbollah instructors remain stationed in underground command facilities in Sanaa, Saada, and Hodeidah. They do not fight on the front lines; their role is specialized: final assembly of smuggled missile guidance kits, drone flight-path programming, and electronic counter-countermeasures (ECCM) against Saudi Patriot jamming.
Active Supply Lines: Despite CENTCOM’s perimeter blockade, Iranian transport networks continue to move high-value, small-footprint components (micro-gyroscopes, solid-fuel propellant binders, satellite navigation chips) into Yemen through two primary routes:
The Transshipment Dhow Route: Small, unflagged wooden dhows loading off the Makran coast of Iran, executing mid-sea ship-to-ship transfers off Oman or the Puntland (Somalia) coast, and landing cargo along unpatrolled southern Yemeni beaches in Mahra and Hadramout.
Covert Air/Sea Logistics via Red Sea Hubs: Utilizing dark-fleet feeder vessels operating out of regional shadow ports to slip specialized technician teams and electronic components past naval patrols into Houthi-controlled Red Sea anchorages. |
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09-19-26 spal
| Chinese commercial SAR satellite constellations (which penetrate cloud cover and night skies) provide frequent revisits over fixed Saudi infrastructure (Aramco tank farms, airbase aprons) and stationary maritime traffic. This commercial data is ingested by Iranian technical advisors, translated into target coordinate packages, and uploaded into Houthi cruise missile flight computers (Quds-3/4 series). |
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09-19-26 spal
Saudi sponsored collapse in western Yemen tipped the strategic balance. It fundamentally altered the broader geoeconomic balance across the entire Middle Eastern theater.
Well, well, well. |
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09-19-26 spal
| Channels are circulating claims of a coordinated multi-vector offensive, framed under "Operation Blockade for Blockade". Imagery of long-range UAV launches (Qasef-2K and Samad-3/4 series) and solid-fuel ballistic trajectories (Toofan/Khaibar) are being actively distributed as visual confirmation. |
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09-19-26 spal
Saudis on the move.
The U.S. State Department’s diplomatic warning—paired with the official Level 3 Travel Advisory upgrade issued for Saudi Arabia citing drone/missile targeting—reflects an urgent shift in CENTCOM’s threat matrix. |
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09-19-26 spal
World Running Short of Supertankers Threatens Long-Haul Oil Flow
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-19/world-running-short-of-supertankers-threatens-long-haul-oil-flow?taid=6aae74924ca3b500013d5645&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_content=business&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
Bloomy finally catches on. |
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09-19-26 panasonic
Not sure when will be implemented, a new deportation system in EU:
(text in spanish)
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/es/press-room/20260611IPR45214/nuevo-sistema-para-el-retorno-de-inmigrantes-sin-derecho-a-permanecer-en-la-ue |
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09-19-26 panasonic
"Gold At $155,000 An Ounce"
If 20 ounces of gold buys me a nice apartment in Salamanca, I'm in :-) |
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09-19-26 panasonic
"most of the rest is no longer"
If concrete measures are taken EU may avert an "EU-exit".
Last but not least, stop complacency on China's sponsoring of huge military build-ups pointing to them. |
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09-19-26 spal
| So Limassol (Cyprus) aka "Limassolgrad" or "Moscow on the Med" is perfect for you. |
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09-19-26 savo
no carib.. but i would move to russia if it would be on the mediterranean
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09-19-26 carib
Savo: you moving to shanghai?
;-) |
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09-19-26 savo
Gold At $155,000 An Ounce
https://quoththeraven.substack.com/p/gold-at-155000-an-ounce |
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09-19-26 savo
pana..
secondary sanctions and the weaponization of the dollar is what has moved the world from bipolar to unipolar.
China was very happy to live in a bipolar world... but if the US is stupid enough to make it unipolar they have no problem to go for the top prize.
The Ukraine war and the Middle east war are interlinked with front actors just being proxies for China.
The EU is ran by satanist whose only objective is to make the middle classes poorer and more controllable through high taxes and expensive energy.
The US is run by thieves and crooks whose only objective is to borrow and spend in order to inflate asset prices and enrich the elites and make access to housing more unaffordable.
I think that pretty much summarizes my view of the world we live in :-)
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09-19-26 carib
Panas: Spain is still "open borders for immigration".
most of the rest is no longer. I expect the EU to finally decide to have a real border (as they should have decided 30 years ago). |
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09-19-26 panasonic
"the big mistake was the weaponization of the dollar and financial markets and secondary sanctions"
Savo, you are back to US and I'm trying to discuss what outcome waits for EU, open borders for immigration and open imports from China:
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/volkswagens-seat-brink-chinese-rivals-gain-ground-2026-09-17/
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09-19-26 spal
Brasil - is the country of the future after all ...
;)) |
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09-19-26 carib
| 6) very important: a nation fighting for its very survival when attacked, can have much more resilience and stamina that a nation attacking others merely in the interest of the political survival of its leaders. |
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09-19-26 carib
Merlino: IMHO recent war events have demonstrated that:
1) anti tank missiles are better than tanks (because a missile costs 1/100 of a tank, needs just one operator and there are plenty available
2) cheap drones moving in swarms coordinated by AI leave infantry with a very short survival time, and are cheaper and easier to replace than well trained infantry
3) carriers remain an important tool of "power projection" but can be vulnerable to drone swarms
4) hum-int remains very important, and being able to systematically eliminate the enemy leadership is a key strenght.
power structures are rarely able to replace leaders efficiently every week.
5) decision makers should become more familiar with Machiavelli and Clausewitz: war is merely a continuation of politics, the objectives must be very clear from the onset, and tactics remain flexible to circumstances. The enemy (leadership) should be killed, not wounded, fast. |
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09-19-26 carib
Spal: I like Brasil. They have TV news (for free) delivered on the assumption the public is not very bright, not very interested in power and money, and not very well informed, and a TV news channel (that you pay) delivered on the assumption the public is well informed, and follows matters of power and money daily.
If you want to get information you watch the latter. If you want to figure out what main street thinks, you watch the former.
Easy.
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09-19-26 spal
| Merlino - yes - standoff offensive campaigns and having the dirty work done by proxies is now being revised in real time. |
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09-19-26 spal
Striking Riyadh International Airport's fuel infrastructure is Iran's way of demonstrating that if their economy is systematically starved of oil revenue leading into November, they will make the surrounding regional and global economy absorb the financial and physical pain in real time.
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Something is now fighting from a cornered position ... think in your minds about what it is like to approach a cornered cat. |
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09-19-26 Merlino
| I humbly think that this confrontation has proved vulnerability and obsolescente of many things including foreign bases, carriers, etc |
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09-19-26 spal
Houthi forces struck the Saudi capital today, hitting fuel storage infrastructure at Riyadh International Airport.
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So Iran runs out of money by early November. They can not get exports past Centcom and have only about 70 million gallons on the water loitering off Malaysia.
Besides that they have extorted some money (in order to stop strikes on infrastructure like desalination plants) from Qatar and the UAE).
Clearly they are trying to last through to the mid terms.
To stop them prior to their money running dry is clearly too hard for the US. But at the point when their economy completely shuts down who knows? |
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09-19-26 spal
Claiming standard infrastructure repairs will take "decades" is not a sober engineering assessment; it is a politically deployed narrative. Whether motivated by uniformed personnel protesting policy overreach, commanders angling for massive emergency MILCON supplemental budgets, or strategic IO masking functional readiness, the quote is designed to shape public perception and policy, not reflect concrete construction timelines.
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In general public statements from "governments" assume that the public are retarded and are always at core political nudges ... may this be recorded as a Schpalism. |
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09-19-26 spal
Most likely the following motive:
By telling ABC News that rebuilding will take "decades," the leaker is effectively telling the American public: "The policy being pursued here isn't just a quick tactical campaign; it is binding the United States to a multi-decade logistical and financial drain in the Middle East." It is a narrative weapon designed to constrain civilian policy options and deter further escalation. |
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09-19-26 spal
The "decades" thing sounds like utter BS IMHO.
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Colores in agreement here - I was just about to write "sounds like horse shit" |
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09-19-26 carib
PS: how long would it take the Chinese?
Fighting masochism is always a hard task..
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09-19-26 carib
The "decades" thing sounds like utter BS IMHO.
How long would the Israeli take to fix an air base, in war? |
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09-19-26 Merlino
A senior U.S. service member told ABC News that the damage to the facilities would take “decades” to repair.
.............................
This to my knowledge was anticipated and freely published on the internet by civil commentators w/o special knowledge or inside info.
They now suggest it was al planned...it opens the possibility to justify using "stronger" non conventional arms
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09-19-26 savo
| has anything been achieved? |
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09-19-26 savo
A senior U.S. service member told ABC News that the damage to the facilities would take “decades” to repair.
"I believe the American people are unaware of the extent of the damage that American bases are taking in [the Middle East] right now due to the conflict with Iran,” the service member, who was granted anonymity, told ABC News.
"These bases have been irreparably damaged. And if we choose to rebuild them, it's going to be a decades long undertaking,” the service member said. “Like, this is not something that's going to be fixed in six months. We're talking about years and years of construction and rebuilding in order to reestablish what's been destroyed."
The Pentagon declined to comment to ABC News.
https://abcnews.com/Politics/photos-show-extensive-damage-us-middle-east-bases/story?id=136507770
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09-19-26 savo
pana... the big mistake was the weaponization of the dollar and financial markets and secondary sanctions... whoever invented those turned the world into an unresolvable mess.
as a consequence a bipolar world is not possible anymore... it will have to be unipolar... and China wants to be it.
In the meantime the US works with only one objective... to enrich its elites. |
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