10-19-26 spal
| Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has arrived in Tehran. |
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10-19-26 spal
| America will Brazilianize - poco a poco - imagine a nuclear armed Brazil. |
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10-19-26 carib
Savo.
America’s home-buying market is a house divided.
On one side, near-record home prices and the recent surge in mortgage rates above 7% have relegated buyers to the sidelines. In many cities, sales are stagnant and sellers are cutting prices for lower-end and entry-level homes to lure back buyers.
On the other is a robust luxury market, where wealthier home shoppers swerve around high rates with jumbo down payments or all-cash purchases. The top third of the market is still buying, and spending enough to push up home prices nationally by more than 4% over the past two years.
WSJ |
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10-19-26 carib
| Prediction markets increasingly expect Democrats to seize control of the Senate in November |
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10-19-26 panasonic
Carib, true.
Social media played a huge roll, AI even crazier... |
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10-19-26 carib
| weird days.. all along the last decade, IMHO. |
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10-19-26 panasonic
"OAT did not collapse"
Weird days indeed. |
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10-19-26 panasonic
"the Doomer Colores."
:-))) |
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10-19-26 spal
all valid points, and pls dont steal my place, I'm the pessimistic one here ;-)
===
We need a new sect - the Doomer Colores.
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10-19-26 carib
| Leo: correct. Bond vigilantes are effective at elections time... |
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10-19-26 leopardo
Still to early for a collapse in the OAT Carib
It will come in the first 3/4 months of 2027 imho |
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10-19-26 carib
| Panas: french riots are a political boon for the right. OAT did not collapse. |
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10-19-26 panasonic
| Savo, all valid points, and pls dont steal my place, I'm the pessimistic one here ;-) |
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10-19-26 carib
Donald Trump is Politically Bankrupt. Be Very Afraid
What will he do when he has nothing left to lose?
(Krugman) |
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10-19-26 savo
pana.. the central bank of a country without problem refinancing its debt can fine tune rates to control inflation. Not the US case.
One would say that a country that needs to fund a 3 trn budget deficit, a 1.2 trn trade deficit and roll over 10 trn of debt per annum should be nice to the rest of the world that is being asked to finance those amounts.
Yes the US is anything but nice... hence very few buyers.
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10-19-26 savo
pana... in isolation yes... but then you have the deficit... the debt... the roll over of the debt... debasement... weaponization of the USD and the US banking system... wars,and more wars... tariffs... a WH that lies constantly and is more interested in personal enrichment... a fed of ignorant doves dressed as hawks...
then there is
PPI for september 1.3%.. annualised 17%
CPI for september 0.6% .. annualised 7.4%
how can fed funds at 3.75 mean anything?
and if they raise rates to make them real positive... budget deficit will explode... and what is the benefit of raising rates to control inflation when the government spends and spends? |
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10-19-26 victor
savo, right.
yet another reason to bet that the gop will lose both houses of congress. |
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10-18-26 panasonic
| Savo, isn't that the whole idea behind higher rates? |
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10-18-26 panasonic
| Carib, yes breaking things rarely conduct to prosperity. |
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10-18-26 savo
it is happening!
the whole thing in reverse... after 40 years of positive wealth effect ...
40 years of falling rates... and people using their homes as an ATM... 40 years refinancing at lower rates ... and extracting equity from their homes as home prices went up and using that money to buy cars... refurbish their homes... pay tuition, botox and new teeth
no more refi... no more atm... the whole economy in reverse...
now we will see how naked is the king... how sandy is the US economy castle...
*****
Miami was the strongest buyer’s market among the 10 leading U.S. metropolitan areas in September, with home sellers outnumbering buyers by 158.9%, according to Redfin data shared by Charlie Bilello.
Miami had 18.9K home sellers compared with 7.3K buyers, the largest percentage gap in the ranking. Nashville, Tennessee, followed, with sellers outnumbering buyers by 152.3%, while Houston, Texas, ranked third at 134.6%.
Nashville had 18.1K sellers and 7.2K buyers, while Houston recorded 47.5K sellers against 20,230 buyers. Although Houston had the largest number of sellers among the 10 markets, Miami had the widest relative gap between sellers and buyers.
Austin, Texas, ranked fourth, with sellers exceeding buyers by 130.9%. The city had 18.1K sellers and 7.8K buyers. San Antonio, Texas, came fifth at 125.6%, with 19.2K sellers and 8.5K buyers.
Las Vegas ranked sixth, with sellers outnumbering buyers by 125.5%. The market had 14.2K sellers compared with 6.3K buyers, putting it just behind San Antonio in the ranking.
Orlando, Florida, placed seventh, with a 123% gap between sellers and buyers. It recorded 20.1K sellers and 9K buyers. Dallas, Texas, followed in eighth place, with sellers outnumbering buyers by 121.9%, as there were 31.4K sellers compared with 14.2K buyers.
Fort Lauderdale, Florida, ranked ninth, with sellers exceeding buyers by 117.8%. The city had 17.8K sellers and 8.2K buyers. Atlanta, Georgia, rounded out the top 10, with a 110.4% gap, recording 41.5K sellers against 19.1K buyers.
The September ranking was dominated by Sun Belt markets, with three cities in Florida and four in Texas. Miami led the group by a margin of more than 6 percentage points over Nashville, while Atlanta had the smallest seller-to-buyer gap among the 10 markets, at 110.4%.
The figures indicate that sellers substantially outnumbered buyers in each of the 10 markets, with the gap ranging from 110.4% in Atlanta to 158.9% in Miami. The ranking is based on the percentage by which home sellers outnumbered buyers, rather than the absolute number of homes listed for sale. |
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10-18-26 carib
| Panas: check OAT 2072 tomorrow. |
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10-18-26 panasonic
Events in France really shocking, too late for them?
Italy at least didn't defund the police.
Spain heating up? |
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10-18-26 victor
CNN
—
Ucrania lanzó durante la noche del sábado uno de sus mayores ataques con drones de este año contra Rusia y alcanzó una importante terminal petrolera, desafiando la exigencia del presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, de que deje de atacar la infraestructura energética rusa.
Las tensiones entre Ucrania y Estados Unidos han aumentado en los últimos días, lo que ha generado temores en Kyiv de que pueda perder un apoyo esencial mientras se aproxima otro invierno bajo los incesantes ataques rusos.
Sin embargo, Ucrania mantiene sus ataques de largo alcance contra Rusia. El Ministerio de Defensa ruso afirmó que derribó 1.015 drones ucranianos durante la noche del sábado al domingo en distintas partes del país. |
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10-18-26 savo
the most nefarious sentence in the history of mankind:
"whatever it takes"
by Draghi |
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10-18-26 savo
the responsible for all this mess is satanist Draghi... by reducing rates to zero... he encouraged government borrowing... now there is too much debt... and rates are going up... so to much cost to keep up.. and not enough money for illegal immigrants, students, energy and various wars.
Same thing in the US... |
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10-18-26 victor
in france, the press already describing an "urban guerrilla"
//
Arde Francia en graves disturbios y saqueos en las protestas por el coste de la vida
Más de medio millón de personas, muchas de ellas jóvenes, se manifiestan contra el Gobierno en marchas que derivan en una guerrilla urbana que vandaliza y quema ayuntamientos como los de Marsella y Limoges y desvalija las tiendas. Hay 1.200 detenidos y 150 policías heridos
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10-18-26 pillz
Venezuela Sees Nearly $76 Billion Oil Investment Over Five Years
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-18/venezuela-sees-nearly-76-billion-oil-investment-over-five-years?srnd=phx-markets |
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10-18-26 spal
| The Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) confirmed that at approximately 16:00 MT on Saturday, October 17, 2026, an explosion and fire occurred on the live-fire training range at CFB Wainwright. |
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10-18-26 spal
Unconfirmed reports on X are saying CFB Wainwright in Alberta was attacked by what is being described as a "small force"
There are pictures circulating of a stripped down jeep that is presented as "the first vehicle in"
developing... |
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