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03-21-26  savo

:-))))))))))

03-21-26  spal

Trump on Kharg: I may have a plan, or I may not.

03-21-26  spal

“I might do it. I might not do it. I might have already done it. Nobody knows.”

— Trump Tzu


“You cannot lose if you don’t have a goal.”

— Trump Tzu


“If you do not know what you are doing, your enemy cannot either.”

— Trump Tzu, The Art of War



03-21-26  victor

merz doing a sanchez, but without taking the credit.

//

Washington DC

President Donald Trump said Friday that US lawmakers are “right about” reconsidering American military bases in NATO countries, including Spain and Germany, following those countries' opposition to participation in the US-Israeli war against Iran.

Responding to a question about Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham’s proposal, Trump said, “He is right about asking that … They should be helping with the strait,” criticizing allies for refusing to support operations and securing the Strait of Hormuz.

“I think NATO has gone down a long way … a lot of senators and congressmen … are very upset with the fact that NATO has done nothing,” he added.

Spain has refused to allow the US use of its bases for strikes on Iran, criticizing US-Israeli strikes on Iran as “unjustified,” and opposing involvement in securing the waterway.

Germany has also signaled reluctance, with its defense minister saying the conflict is “not our war.”

The waterway has been at the center of global energy concerns since Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced its closure to most vessels in retaliation for US-Israeli attacks that began Feb. 28.

After Trump called for international help to reopen the strait, many countries refused, suggesting the US started the war without any international consultation and so the war belongs to Trump.

03-21-26  spal

“Do not buy-the-dip — there’s way too much volatility,”

===

Feels that way.

03-21-26  spal

I take your point.

03-21-26  spal

Clearly I am not in charge Carib, but in all matters you would be treated as an ally and friend.

03-20-26  savo

Taco winding down.. we destroyed everything... big success....i am the greatest military commander in the history of humanity... the barbudos stay there but who cares...

03-20-26  panasonic

Thanks Pilly, maybe private credit troubles also playing a roll in this sell-off, it is an 11T$ market of people asking for redemptions, one fucking mess.

03-20-26  pillz

for Pana:

Gold plunges

Along with bonds, gold is getting hammered by the global reset in interest-rate expectations. It’s a massive unwind of what was one of hottest trades of last year.

Bullion, at about $4,699 an ounce, is down 7% on the week and more than 11% so far in March. If that move holds through the end of the month, it would be the biggest drop since 2008.

It’s a move is driven as much by technicals as by fundamentals. Spot prices broke through their 50-day moving average this week and briefly tested the 100-day level, which has consistently acted as support since 2023.

Once-hot gold-mining stocks are tumbling, and investors are pulling cash from bullion-backed ETFs. The funds are set for a third week of outflows, with holdings falling more than 60 tons, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Higher interest rates hurt gold as it doesn’t pay interest.

“Do not buy-the-dip — there’s way too much volatility,” said Robert Gottlieb, a former precious-metals trader at JPMorgan. —Tatiana Darie and Yihui Xie

03-20-26  carib

SPAL: for the record. If I had any public function in Europe, I would be in favour of supporting the US and Israel, provided I was treated as an ally and friend, and not as a cowardly foe.
Such support would obviously require a clear and shared definition of the objective, that currently tends to oscillate by the day following domestic US political concerns.
I do not like Netanyahu's ways, but would trust Israel to stand united on the objective, given it's survival is at stake.
Europe should be treated as a friend, not like a servant.

03-20-26  savo

regarding precious metals... nothing has changed... the dollar continues being as doomed as before... and more so now that in the middle of a war has rallied only 3% against the euro.. so much for safe heaven ... and treasuries have sold off...

US federal debt is quickly approaching 40 trn... the deficit is above 2trn and with the war it is going up... wars are always longer and more expansive the originally planned... so expect.. more debt.. more deficit and more inflation.

PPI came in February at 0.7% so inflation is accelerating... and that was before the oil shock..so even if they do not cut rates.. as inflation goes up... rates are effectively going down.

Look at this table... in 1913 when the fed was created an ounce of gold costed 20 dollars... 100 years before in 1813 it costed..... 20 dollars... 100 and 13 years later in 2026 it costs 4600

do you think the fed of the next 100 years will be any better than the Fed of the last 100?

https://onlygold.com/gold-prices/historical-gold-prices/

03-20-26  spal

Iran can hit 400 yards from the Western Wall and chose 400 yards from the Western Wall. Not the Wall itself. Not Al-Aqsa. 400 yards. The message. The هوشمند and the کامل. The ذكية and the كاملة. The intelligent and the complete. Iran showing it can reach the holiest site in the world and choosing not to hit it. The precision that is the restraint.

The 400 yards - that is the warning.

03-20-26  spal

400 yards from the Western Wall and Al-Aqsa

03-20-26  spal

Footage of an Iranian ballistic missile hitting the old city of Jerusalem, falling roughly 400 yards from the Western Wall and Al-Aqsa.

====

03-20-26  spal

Agitprop^2 ... but good.

03-20-26  spal

This is a shameful moment in Western history, leaders standing like frightened cowards before the Islamist jihadist rats ruling Iran. Starmer in Britain. The German Chancellor. They want the oil. The gas. The markets. But when it comes to defending it? Silence. Cowardice. Excuses. At the same time they rush to talk with the Islamic regime in Iran.
So let’s be clear: Zero friendship. Zero loyalty. Zero respect for their own interests or for the civilization they claim to defend. Do not speak to us again about friendship. Do not lecture the world about freedom.

We watched you stand against your closest ally, America, while hoping the Islamist regime in Iran wins this confrontation.


Written by Amjad Taha - the Bahrain-based Regional Director of the British Middle East Centre for Studies and Research, the author of “The Deception of the Arab Spring”, and an advisor to senior GCC government officials.

03-20-26  spal

NEXT bounced back up ... likely on Kharg Island speculation.

PBF ... added.

03-20-26  spal

deleveraging

==

Leo that is what I heard also.

03-20-26  panasonic

Vic, tks.

03-20-26  victor

pana, 2027 general elections? which party would? the PP?

after CyL a few days ago, i don't see sanchez staying in moncloa.

strikes in Cat against the PSC/PSOE are hard to come by.
and is a tell-tale sign.

as the 3 recent regional elections show, sanchez has managed to screw those on his left (gone), and VOX screwed themselves for supporting DT, as CyL shows.


03-20-26  leopardo

Only one is interest rates rising and deleveraging

03-20-26  panasonic

Pilly, have you found reason why previous metals prices are falling?

03-20-26  spal

Let's see if Keith Richards outlives him ... that will be the real test of lifestyle ...

;)

03-20-26  panasonic

Norris RIP, he lived in full till last moments.

03-20-26  panasonic

Vic, that people will vote next year in general elections for:

"Increase productivity and reduce welfare"?

03-20-26  victor

"So easy for them to do"

//

if it's so easy, why doesn't the usa do the "simple military maneuver" ?


Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with very little danger for them, they complain about the high oil prices they are forced to pay, but don’t want to help open the Strait of Hormuz, a simple military maneuver that is the single reason for the high oil prices. So easy for them to do, with so little risk. COWARDS, and we will REMEMBER! President DONALD J. TRUMP

03-20-26  spal

4 months ago, norris was still training and in good shape.

===

You can still blow a fuse or a value ... sounds like he went out like a champ ... that is the most we can hope for.

03-20-26  victor

4 months ago, norris was still training and in good shape.

//

November 23, 2025 2:15 pm

Chuck Norris Is 85 and Still in Fighting Shape: Here’s How He Trains

From Total Gym circuits to martial arts in the pool, the action icon proves strength and movement matter more than age.

Chuck Norris is 85 and still training with the mindset of a martial artist, not a retiree. The action legend and multiple black belt holder continues to lift, kick, and climb his way through life, pairing smart strength work with joint friendly conditioning and daily movement.


https://fitnessvolt.com/chuck-norris-still-in-fighting-shape/

03-20-26  victor

Chuck Norris, martial arts master and actor whose toughness became internet lore, dies at 86

03-20-26  victor

pana, positive? in regards to? the economy? crime? immigration?
the "muslim problem"? CyL? current strikes taking place? etc etc

given that your priority seems to be the "muslim problem", then i would also be highly negative if i were you.

03-20-26  spal

A breaking report from Axios just hit, citing senior administration officials who claim the Pentagon has presented a plan to President Trump to seize and "administratively manage" Kharg Island, Iran’s primary oil export terminal.

The Logic: By physically occupying Kharg, the U.S. aims to force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under the threat of a total, indefinite loss of their export revenue.

Market Reaction: This is being read as a major "Boots on the Ground" escalation. Brent has spiked back toward $110/bbl, and the S&P 500 is shedding gains as traders price in a much longer, hotter conflict.

03-20-26  panasonic

Vic, so you are positive? Good to know, my perception was the opposite on my vist (one week ago).

03-20-26  spal


Delcy Rodríguez destituye al máximo jefe operativo de la Fuerza Armada venezolana

==

Pragmatic

03-20-26  victor

pana, "that sentence seems to be a pessimistic view"

is it?

"Sanchez is having an amazing boost in popularity"

by leftists worldwide, many of whom cannot even vote for him.

03-20-26  panasonic

"It's about eliminating these govt handouts, and encouraging people to be productive."

Sorry Vic, but that sentence seems to be a pessimistic view, given (from your own posts) that Sanchez is having an amazing boost in popularity.

My view is consistent with yours, unless you have something in mind that could change current dynamics?

03-20-26  hann

Sorry 3 mile long weapons train

03-20-26  victor

Delcy Rodríguez destituye al máximo jefe operativo de la Fuerza Armada venezolana

Domingo Hernández Lárez, sancionado por Estados Unidos, es sustituido por Rafael Prieto Martínez

03-20-26  hann

03-20-26 savo

there is Hegseth asking congress for 200 bn dollars... add it to the 2.1 trn deficit...
-----

friend of friend drove from vegas to LA. Near port area so 3 long weapons train - prob going to mid east.

so seems ground war...

03-20-26  hann

Gemini Summary for You
The "5V" news for the 2020s actually helps you indirectly. By keeping CITGO protected and "in the family," the U.S. is ensuring that the most valuable asset isn't stripped away by just one group of creditors. This leaves more value on the table for the general restructuring of your 2026 and 2035 notes.
---
OFFICE OF FOREIGN ASSETS CONTROL Venezuela Sanctions Regulations 31 CFR Part 591 GENERAL LICENSE NO. 5V Authorizing Certain Transactions Related to the Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. 2020 8.5 Percent Bond on or After May 5, 2026 (a) Except as provided in paragraph (b) of this general license, on or after May 5, 2026, all transactions related to, the provision of financing for, and other dealings in the Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. 2020 8.5 Percent Bond that would be prohibited by subsection l(a)(iii) of Executive Order (E.O.) 13835 of May 21, 2018, as amended by E.O. 13857 of January 25, 2019, and incorporated into the Venezuela Sanctions Regulations, 31 CFR part 591 (the VSR), are authorized. (b) This general license does not authorize any transactions or activities otherwise prohibited by the VSR, or any other part of 31 CFR chapter V. (c) Effective March 19, 2026, General License No. 5U, dated February 2, 2026, is replaced and superseded in its entirety by this General License No. 5V.

03-20-26  savo

there is Hegseth asking congress for 200 bn dollars... add it to the 2.1 trn deficit...

The little adventure to remove the barbudos was not short and was not cheap...

military contractors delighted...

but the barbudos are still there and the oil market is screwed by this clown who thought he was some kind of Napoleon conquering the middle east.

And where is congress going to get the 200 bn?... more taxes today.. or more inflation tomorrow...

Trump's presidency irreversibly damaged ...


03-20-26  victor

pana, again, that's your opinion.

03-20-26  panasonic

Vic, even if we have different opinions, from your last post seems we have the same view on Spain's not so bright future.

03-20-26  spal

The threat (dirty bomb) is likely technically real but operationally impossible. However, in the logic of the March 2026 Siege, the possibility of a crude device is the only thing keeping U.S. public opinion from turning against a war that has already "set back Iran’s military by years" but failed to produce a replacement government.

===

I would really like to meet the actual propagandist that puts this BS together. This is really tiresome.

03-20-26  spal


Combined, many are concerned that these two nuclear issues could result in a small-scale, rushed-out nuclear bomb, which, however small, could have devastating effects.

===

This is really far fetched - of course Israeli intelligence is mostly dealing with dopes and useful idiots.

With 440 kgs of 60% enriched uranium the best you can do is a "dirty bomb" the size of a shipping container. You would need a seriously massive tungsten-carbide or lead tamper. The whole thing would weigh about 20 tons.

So this is NOT going on a missile.

A 60% device is statistically likely to pre-detonate, resulting in a "small" explosion of "only" a few hundred tons of TNT instead of a kiloton.

At 60% enrichment, the "background" neutron radiation from the U-238 is so high that the chain reaction would likely begin before the two uranium halves fully meet. This results in a "pre-detonation" (fizzle).

A 20-tonne shipping container requires a heavy-duty crane, a reinforced flatbed, and a "clear run" through a war zone where the U.S. and Israel have total air superiority (18,000+ strikes).

----

This is a story made up by the Israelis ... I do NOT buy it.



03-20-26  victor

pana, i know, and a country like spain cannot afford to make enemies out of muslims.. not 50 years ago, not today.
most spanish leaders understand this.

one of the few who did not was aznar, when he decided to support bush and blair in the iraq war.

to this day, most people have a negative opinion of anzar, and this is the one thing they remember him for.. for supporting the iraq war.

an example would be algeria, a main supplier of natural gas to spain.
as a result of the current war, they are already in the process of boosting gas exports to spain.
there is a pipeline between both countries. etc.

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