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03-13-26 pillz
Iran threatens region's oil facilities if Israel, US target its energy infrastructure - report
Iran's UN Ambassador also said that Tehran would not close the Strait of Hormuz, adding that it was Iran's right to preserve the security of the key shipping route.
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03-13-26 pillz
| Iran claims Strait of Hormuz is open at UN headquarters |
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03-12-26 amateur
| US Refueling Plane Crashes Over Iraq... |
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03-12-26 spal
I still remember how proud we were at our first Fiji meeting
when participants from Russia also arrived.
===
Probably one of the great days it Colores history. I was not there but I heard the legend. |
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03-12-26 spal
and in my view that is good and the more controversial the better.
====
Mine too. Savo and I will often argue until we can't bear it anymore ... but don't dare try to criticize him as a fellow colore in front of me ... in other words we remain friends. |
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03-12-26 victor
spaldo, in all fairness, there is also a coincidence:
the mentioned period of time also coincides with ruspan's lack of interest in investments, due to getting ripped off by the german guys.
so yes, you are right, but there were also diverging interests between ruspan, and most of us on the board. |
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03-12-26 spaldo
_the more controversial the better_
Yes, Savo. To do that, we must also allow participants with completely different opinions to speak. Even if we strongly disagree with those opinions. Even if we are detecting propaganda from a competing power.
Even if the opinion conflicts with our financial goals.
I still remember how proud we were at our first Fiji meeting
when participants from Russia also arrived.
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03-12-26 victor
spaldo, i see, thanks
savo, right. i think most of us here are thickly skinned.
but apparently not all. |
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03-12-26 savo
| i do not think there are personal disputes... simply strong opinions... and in my view that is good and the more controversial the better. |
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03-12-26 spaldo
1996 Colors of the market (Bradynet) was our original meeting place merging into coloresmembers.
Late 2019 Covid-19 emerged followed by the UKR conflict in 2022.
Plenty stuff for personal disputes ...
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03-12-26 victor
spaldo,
-from the beginning in 1996 I had been living under the illusion that no participant on this board needed to feel the way you expressed.
-Since the end of 2019, we have been challenged in ways that many of us no longer thought possible.
//
i don't get either statement.
what happened in 1996 and 2019 ?
can you clarify? thanks. |
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03-12-26 savo
Iran’s Supreme Leader Says Other Fronts Will Be Opened If War Persists
I wonder if people are questioning in the US whether Trump and Hegseth are mentally sound and thinking clearly.
The continues lies... on every front.. the deterioration of the economy... from creating few jobs to now destroying the few that were being created... the deficit.. the debt... inflation...the tariffs fiasco... the invasion of Greenland (for God's sake).. to the continued bragging about the military might... which financed by the deficit is in essence financed by the rest of the world which is now being threatened by the same army that they help to finance... The US has become a Frankenstain that bombs, destroys, inflates, borrows, does not pay...and borrows more and spends more and a congress that passes spending bills without knowing what is inside the bill...
These people can not be in their right minds. |
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03-12-26 panasonic
| Ruspan, shaize will hit the fan a thousand times in our colores life, we can ventilate but all understand none of us is in decision roll, so all opinions give more color to our board ;-) |
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03-12-26 spal
For God's sake, don't let anyone stop you from expressing your opinion.
===
I will drink to that. Opinions are what we need now - more than ever. |
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03-12-26 spaldo
_I just fo not feel my pov might be appropriate here_
Ruspan, from the beginning in 1996 I had been living under the illusion that no participant on this board needed to feel the way you expressed.
Wally was a great peacemaker, and in his own way, so was Alexander. Since the end of 2019, we have been challenged in ways that many of us no longer thought possible. Not all participants were able to maintain their usual balanced style.
At some point, we will have to forgive each other.
For God's sake, don't let anyone stop you from expressing your opinion. SPAL's guiding principle is a solid foundation.
Best rgds. |
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03-12-26 victor
ruspan, it's your browser, not colores.
i have explained this before.
to avoid double posts:
right after posting/publish in corps, go to SOVEREIGNS or OTHER STUFF.
right after posting, change board, then come back to corps if you want, and your browser won't double post again. |
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03-12-26 spal
| Once a colore ... always a brother ... that is part of our law. |
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03-12-26 spal
I just fo not feel my pov might be appropriate here, except for some few :-
===
On the contrary you are always carefully listened to. Besides that you have a good outlook on life and some interesting experiences to share ... so please continue ... |
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03-12-26 ruspan
Spaldo: What started as a cognitive gap a few years ago become a precipice, I just fo not feel my pov might be appropriate here, except for some few :-)
So I prefer to watch from time to time.
Watching people whom you knew for decades to change, even if sad, is very instructive. |
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03-12-26 ruspan
| Upss, also unvoluntary repost, I am sorry - smth is wrong with the board? I´ve just opened it. |
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03-12-26 ruspan
(translated from russian analist)
Will strategic oil reserves save the world from an energy crisis?
No, they won't.
On March 11, the IEA decided to coordinate the release of 400 million barrels of oil from member countries' strategic/emergency reserves, the largest oil market intervention in history.
The scale of the problem cannot be understood without context. The supply gap will be approximately 15-16 million barrels per day, as up to 3 million barrels per day will be able to be released overland through the pipeline in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and another 1-2 million barrels per day will pass through the strait, primarily for China, plus some "suicide" countries at their own risk.
Therefore, the 20 million barrels per day of outgoing oil and petroleum product flows (approximately 20% of global supply/demand) will likely adjust to 15-16 million barrels per day in the coming weeks, which would be a realistic estimate, and that's over 450 million barrels per month.
Considering that a gap of approximately 200 million barrels has already accumulated over the 12 days of conflict, while the decision to "intervene on an unprecedented 400 million barrels" was being considered, half of which has already been absorbed.
The remaining 200 million represents another couple of weeks of market stabilization until the end of March, so by early April the question will arise: where to find another 400-450 million for April, and then another 450 million for May? And then what?
There is no solution other than stopping the war in the Middle East or militarily lifting the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Even this objective cannot be effective without a ground operation, and a ground operation is out of the question in the current configuration.
Many focus on the Strait of Hormuz, forgetting that Iran has approximately 1,700 km of coastal area, every kilometer of which could potentially pose a threat.
The Strait of Hormuz merely narrows the attack surface to 50-60 km, but there is an entrance and exit point, which also pose a danger to shipping. There are also loading terminals in Middle Eastern countries, which are approximately 150-250 km away from Iran's coastal zone, which is practically nothing for modern attack drones.
Can you name at least one reason why Iran won't be able to destroy loading ports in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE? We shouldn't focus on the Strait of Hormuz. The entire Persian Gulf is no longer a safe place where targets such as ports, terminals, oil and gas storage facilities, LNG plants, and production and pipeline infrastructure can be hit.
All of these are large and stationary targets, making them easily susceptible to attack by drones and missiles. Even if nine were intercepted, a 10th drone could disable critical energy infrastructure for months or years.
Let's assume that somehow (it's unclear how, but let's assume) US aircraft and the Navy managed to take control of the Strait of Hormuz itself – this doesn't eliminate the threat to the region; in fact, it increases it.
While the missile and launcher situation in Iran is indeed complicated, drones are manufactured and launched in makeshift conditions, and can be delivered via the Caspian Sea from Russia or via Pakistan via the continuous Chinese Eastern Express.
The density of energy infrastructure in the Middle East is so high, and the distance so small (within 150-350 km), that permanent threats from Iran can be effective, changing the strategic profile of the conflict.
That's precisely why 400 million interventions solve nothing. They decide within the paradigm that everything will be over by the end of March, but for now I doubt Trump will wake up and say, "We had a great fight, a wonderful 2-3 week excursion to Iran, we killed everyone and destroyed everything, all the goals of the special Iranian operation were achieved, thank you all, and everyone is free to go. Thanks for your attention to this matter, DJT."
Iran won't let him escape, knowing Trump's weaknesses and the limited operational window, where every week counts heavily against him.
Yes, Trump has been eager to spew out a tweet like that from the very first day, but so far, the old Khamenei has been replaced by a younger Khamenei, and Iran has become significantly angrier, albeit with a devastated military-industrial complex. This doesn't remove the threat from the Persian Gulf. |
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03-12-26 panasonic
Khamenei Jr is not the one calling the shots in Iran, that country right now is multiple factions doing things on their own.
Let's hope radiation comes up, enriched uranium is located and extracted, once that is done the reversal will be quite fast.
Not even Erdogan is sleeping with that uranium at large, in hands of rogue lunatics. |
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03-12-26 Merlino
Erik Del Bufalo @ekbufalo Mar 9
Venezuela muy probablemente va a contribuir a pagar el gran costo económico de la expulsión de EE.UU. de Asia occidental. En esta coyuntura histórica, el magachavismo se perfila como la guinda final de muchos años de desgracias.
............................
To take into account by those interested in Veni, I guess
I don´t know how this will play out, if at all |
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03-12-26 spal
Yes, Trump has been eager to spew out a tweet like that from the very first day, but so far, the old Khamenei has been replaced by a younger Khamenei, and Iran has become significantly angrier, albeit with a devastated military-industrial complex. This doesn't remove the threat from the Persian Gulf.
====
That is exactly how I see it also. Maybe I am a Russian analyst after all. |
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03-12-26 spal
| Last post an accident - was an old one sitting in the cache of a different browser. |
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03-12-26 spal
CGEH
Capstone
Small jet engine like generators for power peaking and stability at data centers. Stock settled today. Bought. |
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03-12-26 panasonic
"The Netherlands has advanced legislation, scheduled for 2028, to tax unrealized capital gains (paper profits) on stocks, bonds, and crypto at a 36% rate. This "Box 3" reform targets annual value increases, not just realized profits, although recent political pressure has led to promises to reconsider this approach. It applies to investments exceeding a threshold, but not to primary residences"
Hope is not contagious :-( |
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03-12-26 panasonic
Ruspan, good read.
In your opinion, is the relation between Russia and Gulf States so insignificant that is worth to side with Iran on this? I thought they had close relations. |
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03-12-26 panasonic
Spal, great info I'm on the camp that the key to solve this mess is completely abandon nuclear program.
Don't think is too much to ask, but yes puts an end to the master plan to control gulf states. |
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03-12-26 spaldo
Ruspan, as much as we appreciate your hang gliding hobby: you were missed here. No news from Primo and Opti.
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03-12-26 ruspan
(translated from russian analist)
Will strategic oil reserves save the world from an energy crisis?
No, they won't.
On March 11, the IEA decided to coordinate the release of 400 million barrels of oil from member countries' strategic/emergency reserves, the largest oil market intervention in history.
The scale of the problem cannot be understood without context. The supply gap will be approximately 15-16 million barrels per day, as up to 3 million barrels per day will be able to be released overland through the pipeline in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and another 1-2 million barrels per day will pass through the strait, primarily for China, plus some "suicide" countries at their own risk.
Therefore, the 20 million barrels per day of outgoing oil and petroleum product flows (approximately 20% of global supply/demand) will likely adjust to 15-16 million barrels per day in the coming weeks, which would be a realistic estimate, and that's over 450 million barrels per month.
Considering that a gap of approximately 200 million barrels has already accumulated over the 12 days of conflict, while the decision to "intervene on an unprecedented 400 million barrels" was being considered, half of which has already been absorbed.
The remaining 200 million represents another couple of weeks of market stabilization until the end of March, so by early April the question will arise: where to find another 400-450 million for April, and then another 450 million for May? And then what?
There is no solution other than stopping the war in the Middle East or militarily lifting the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Even this objective cannot be effective without a ground operation, and a ground operation is out of the question in the current configuration.
Many focus on the Strait of Hormuz, forgetting that Iran has approximately 1,700 km of coastal area, every kilometer of which could potentially pose a threat.
The Strait of Hormuz merely narrows the attack surface to 50-60 km, but there is an entrance and exit point, which also pose a danger to shipping. There are also loading terminals in Middle Eastern countries, which are approximately 150-250 km away from Iran's coastal zone, which is practically nothing for modern attack drones.
Can you name at least one reason why Iran won't be able to destroy loading ports in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE? We shouldn't focus on the Strait of Hormuz. The entire Persian Gulf is no longer a safe place where targets such as ports, terminals, oil and gas storage facilities, LNG plants, and production and pipeline infrastructure can be hit.
All of these are large and stationary targets, making them easily susceptible to attack by drones and missiles. Even if nine were intercepted, a 10th drone could disable critical energy infrastructure for months or years.
Let's assume that somehow (it's unclear how, but let's assume) US aircraft and the Navy managed to take control of the Strait of Hormuz itself – this doesn't eliminate the threat to the region; in fact, it increases it.
While the missile and launcher situation in Iran is indeed complicated, drones are manufactured and launched in makeshift conditions, and can be delivered via the Caspian Sea from Russia or via Pakistan via the continuous Chinese Eastern Express.
The density of energy infrastructure in the Middle East is so high, and the distance so small (within 150-350 km), that permanent threats from Iran can be effective, changing the strategic profile of the conflict.
That's precisely why 400 million interventions solve nothing. They decide within the paradigm that everything will be over by the end of March, but for now I doubt Trump will wake up and say, "We had a great fight, a wonderful 2-3 week excursion to Iran, we killed everyone and destroyed everything, all the goals of the special Iranian operation were achieved, thank you all, and everyone is free to go. Thanks for your attention to this matter, DJT."
Iran won't let him escape, knowing Trump's weaknesses and the limited operational window, where every week counts heavily against him.
Yes, Trump has been eager to spew out a tweet like that from the very first day, but so far, the old Khamenei has been replaced by a younger Khamenei, and Iran has become significantly angrier, albeit with a devastated military-industrial complex. This doesn't remove the threat from the Persian Gulf. |
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03-12-26 ruspan
Amateur: Russia produces up to 5000 Geran (shajeed) drones per month actually, may supply the to Iran.
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03-12-26 spal
Iran has set some tough conditions to agree a ceasefire — these now include “reparations” and “firm international guarantees” that it won’t be attacked again.
In the ordinary course of negotiations, maximalist demands at the outset are expected, as some are given up or diluted as bargaining chips through the process. |
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03-12-26 spal
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: New US intelligence says Iran's leadership is still "largely intact" and not at risk of collapse "any time soon," per Reuters.
Details include:
1. A "multitude" of intelligence reports provide "consistent analysis that the regime is not in danger" of collapse
2. Intelligence also suggests that the Iranian government "retains control of the Iranian public"
3. Israeli officials in closed discussions also have acknowledged there is "no certainty" the war will lead to the Iranian government's collapse
4. The situation on the ground is being described as "fluid"
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03-12-26 spal
| Casualties: While the Iron Dome and Arrow systems intercepted the majority of the tonnage, the sheer volume caused "saturation." In the last 24 hours, Israeli health authorities reported 2 deaths and approximately 200 injuries in the Tel Aviv area alone. |
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03-12-26 spal
The sense of panic in Tel Aviv is real, driven by a change in Iranian tactics.
The "Skyline Ban": You are correct about the censorship. The IDF has strictly banned live broadcasts of the Tel Aviv skyline during sirens. This is to prevent Iran from using live news feeds for real-time BDA (Battle Damage Assessment) to adjust their missile GPS coordinates.
Sub-Munition Terror: The use of cluster warheads has shifted the "panic" from direct hits to "shrapnel rain." Residents in Tel Aviv are being told to stay in shelters even after interceptions because the sub-munitions from cluster bombs can drift and explode minutes later. |
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03-12-26 spal
| Iran has demonstrated a solid unmanned surface vessel capability, one that is proving to be very effective against commercial shipping in the Gulf, from the great HI Sutton: https://hisutton.com/IRGC-USV.html |
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03-12-26 spal
who told him that these iranian guys would react like delcy, after killing K?
===
Yes, but very different countries, circumstances, history and terrain.
The fact that he would need to be told that things might be different strikes me as inadequate. |
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03-12-26 spal
Over the last 36 hours, Iranian forces have carried out 5 likely successful attacks on commercial vessels across the Persian Gulf.
At least 3 vessels have been heavily damaged, with another 3 suffering minor damage. Notably, some of the attacks were carried out by drone boats. |
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03-12-26 victor
spal, dt?
interesting perspective.
he's better than i assumed.
he went after NM, and he's going after castro in cuba. he should be commended.
he's trying to go after iran and hezbollah. also commended.
the problem is how he approaches stuff, and the assumptions he makes.
who told him that these iranian guys would react like delcy, after killing K? |
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03-12-26 spal
| Vic - you would know Sanchez better - personally I was not really following, but I am glad you are and it looks like he is getting attention in Europe. |
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03-12-26 spal
| It's not ... I was referring to Trump - who is clearly not as tough as he think he is and that makes him cruel and spiteful IMO. |
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03-12-26 victor
spal, dt threatened sanchez/spain yet again today.
regardless, sanchez won't budge. |
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03-12-26 victor
spal, I also don't like people who are not really hard, trying to act hard
//
how is this applicable to sanchez?
if anything, it's the other way around..
he acts very softly, but is no softie. |
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03-12-26 spal
so sanchez isn't the bad guy any longer?
===
I don't think I said he was a bad guy. I also don't like people who are not really hard, trying to act hard. It leads to ugly things. |
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03-12-26 spal
Vic - as of this week (March 11, 2026), there are strong indications that the MOP is being used again to strike "Hard and Deeply Buried Targets" (HDBTs).
Parchin Military Complex: Satellite imagery released today (March 11) by Vantor shows three massive, precise impact points at the Taleghan 2 facility in Parchin. Analysts suggest these are "broadly consistent" with MOP strikes seen at Fordow last year.
Qom & Missile Silos: While the White House has officially confirmed the use of 2,000-lb bunker busters (GBU-31/72) against missile facilities, independent analysts believe the "massive" explosions reported in the Qom region involve the GBU-57, given the depth of the IRGC command bunkers located there.
Best I can do. |
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03-12-26 victor
spal, When the US agrees to reparations and muzzles Israel.
//
so sanchez isn't the bad guy any longer? |
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03-12-26 victor
spal, was this confirmed? i can't find it on the regular news channels
//
MASSIVE NON-NUCLEAR EXPLOSION IN QOM, IRAN JUST NOW |
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03-12-26 savo
«Estados Unidos reconoce a Delcy Rodríguez como la única jefa de Estado, capaz de actuar en nombre de Venezuela».
yet the new president of Chile invited Guaido!!!
can somebody be more stupid??? |
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03-12-26 savo
Golpe mortal al interinato: Estados Unidos reconoce a Delcy Rodríguez como jefa de Estado ante tribunales y le otorga la representación legal de Venezuela
La comunicación fue presentada por el Departamento de Justicia en respuesta a una solicitud de la corte federal, dentro de procedimientos relacionados con litigios que involucran bienes de la República en Estados Unidos
Venezuela confirma restablecimiento de las relaciones diplomáticas con Estados Unidos.
El gobierno de Estados Unidos notificó a la Corte del Distrito Sur de Nueva York que reconoce a Delcy Rodríguez como presidenta interina y jefa de Estado de Venezuela, en una decisión que redefine la representación legal del país en los tribunales estadounidenses y tiene implicaciones directas sobre la defensa de sus activos en el exterior.
La comunicación fue presentada por el Departamento de Justicia en respuesta a una solicitud de la corte federal, dentro de procedimientos relacionados con litigios que involucran bienes de la República en Estados Unidos. Con esta notificación, Washington establece que la administración encabezada por Rodríguez será la instancia con capacidad de representar legalmente al Estado venezolano ante los tribunales estadounidenses.
El documento fue firmado por Michael G. Kozak, alto funcionario de la Oficina de Asuntos del Hemisferio Occidental del Departamento de Estado, y remitido al fiscal Jay Clayton. En él se informa que la posición oficial del gobierno estadounidense es reconocer a Rodríguez como la autoridad estatal competente para actuar en nombre de Venezuela.
El reconocimiento se produce en un giro diplomático de la administración de Donald Trump, que en los últimos días anunció el restablecimiento de relaciones con Caracas. En un discurso el 7 de marzo, el presidente de Estados Unidos afirmó: “Esta semana hemos reconocido formalmente al gobierno venezolano… De hecho, lo hemos reconocido legalmente”.
Según la posición del Departamento de Estado, la normalización de relaciones con Venezuela busca facilitar la recuperación económica del país y un proceso gradual hacia elecciones democráticas.
En el plano judicial, la decisión implica que la representación legal del Estado venezolano en litigios en Estados Unidos pasará a manos de abogados designados por la administración de Delcy Rodríguez, lo cual modifica el esquema vigente desde 2019, cuando Washington reconocía a la Asamblea Nacional de 2015 como autoridad política legítima.
El cambio también se produce en un contexto político marcado por la captura de Nicolás Maduro en enero de 2026 durante una operación militar estadounidense y su posterior traslado a Nueva York para enfrentar cargos federales relacionados con narcotráfico.
Tras ese hecho, el Tribunal Supremo de Venezuela designó a Delcy Rodríguez presidenta interina, con el argumento de garantizar la continuidad institucional del Estado.
El reconocimiento formal por Estados Unidos consolida un cambio en la relación bilateral, que incluye el restablecimiento de contactos diplomáticos y agenda centrada en cooperación energética, minera y de seguridad.
La notificación a la corte federal marca así un nuevo escenario político y jurídico para Venezuela, al definir quién representa al país ante los tribunales estadounidenses en los procesos relacionados con sus activos y obligaciones internacionales.
https://x.com/ahernandezof/status/2031833489381761522 |
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03-12-26 spal
| Sorry Pilly and anyone strongly affiliated with Israel ... personally I have the greatest love for the people there. |
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03-12-26 spal
| When the US agrees to reparations and muzzles Israel. |
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03-12-26 savo
| when will all this destruction end?? |
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